In this Chaillot Paper, the European Union Institute for Security Studies offers up an intriguing and stimulating back- casting exercise. The report posits 14 desired future scenarios and then offers possible policy steps to bring them about.
The scenarios do not just depict a desirable future, but include pathways and concrete recommendations on how to get there. The scenarios outlined here therefore amount to more than strategic foresight since they are highly operational; in addition, they describe futures that are just beginning in 2024, but which will have wide-ranging positive repercussions in the decades beyond that date.
The scenarios are varied but credible and relevant and the discussion full of important information and insights that should have policymakers thinking hard.
Read the full report (external link)
Published 24 January 2020 at www.iss.europa.eu/publications/