If he wins, Donald Trump says he could bring about the cessation of hostilities in Ukraine between his election and inauguration. The deal might just destabilise the West and reshape the global order.
Read more
How democratic are the Western democracies?
Somehow, electoral success for new, rising parties in a democracy is now a threat to democracy. While relatively poor electoral outcomes for parties who have traditionally dominated – securing only around a third of the vote – is enough to give these parties an unquestioned right to govern.
Read more
Would Harris adopt the militarism of the failed Biden Doctrine?
As Trump’s prospects of electoral success seem to fade, the question becomes whether as president Kamala Harris would carve out a different foreign policy path from the failing Biden Doctrine.
Read more
Is the US likely to use the newly-minted AUKUS ‘get-out’ clauses?
By 2028, the next US administration may need to decide between adherence to the AUKUS deal as structured, or ensuring the operational viability of America’s own nuclear submarine force. Is there potential for the US to withdraw from AUKUS?
Read more
Trump and Vance’s theocratic republic of America
The theocratic elements of Project 2025’s Mandate for Leadership unmistakably resonate with Trump’s and Vance’s views. In these key aspects of the policy program, Trump’s efforts to disown Project 2025 must be seen as disingenuous. The implications should not be ignored.
Read more
Beyond the stockade – is Australia ready for US isolationism?
Longing for a simpler time when neither market capitalism, nor the values of the American individualist, materialist culture, were questioned, and when American preeminence was unchallenged, Trump’s impulse is to withdraw and close the gates. For Australia the repercussions could be profound.
Read more
Let’s not forget our obligations to future generations
Will the ‘pivotal generation’ meet its moral obligation to act on timely greenhouse gas emission elimination, and urgent, effective and equitable climate change mitigation and adaptation actions? Cheap energy will not be the only preoccupation of future generations or the only yardstick by which they judge the actions of the current generation.
Read more
The aimlessness of the G7 on Ukraine only delays the inevitable
At some point there must come a crisis. The G7 and their allies and partners will either have to cease their support for Ukraine as the toll and costs become too great, or decide that the defeat of Russia is of such importance to them collectively that they engage militarily in the conflict.
Read more